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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Cancel the BCS Championship Game

From Slate, LSU fan Josh Levin's case for cancelling the national championship:

The BCS was created in 1998 to bring some semblance of order to the college postseason. Every year, we discover a new scenario the system can't deal with. But the BCS isn't what's wrong with college football. The problem is trying to overlay any kind of rational framework onto an irrational sport. College football's design makes it nearly impossible to compare teams: Since schools in different conferences have few common opponents, the regular season hardly ever settles which team is best. In college football, an undefeated season has always been difficult but attainable--a useful proxy for greatness if not direct evidence of a team's immortality. When two and only two major-conference teams (sorry, Hawaii) survive the season without a loss, a championship game provides the perfect ending. In every other situation, a one-off title game is guaranteed to be an unsatisfying conclusion. As the BCS has shown, for every year in which there are two and only two great teams, there are several more in which there are four great teams, or three, or one. And then there's this year, where there happen to be none.
[...]
My modest proposal for college football is to have a little flexibility. In an ideal world--one without pesky things like TV contracts--the sport would play it by ear. If Texas vs. USC is the only game anyone wants to see, make it happen. If there are four one-loss teams, throw them all into a playoff. And if there are five or seven or 10 teams that are roughly indistinguishable, don't bother with a playoff or a championship game. The regular season may do a terrible job at selecting the country's best team, but it functions rather well at determining who the best team isn't. This year, every team has done more than enough to eliminate itself from contention. So, let's play all the bowls, give everyone a smallish trophy, and tell them better luck next year. I'm looking forward to a potential game between Missouri and West Virginia. Just don't try convincing me that the winner is anything close to great.

- - - Uh, yeah. Cancel it, or just don't call it a championship. Where have I heard that before?

All comments on 'Sunday Morning Quarterback' are the views of the individual commenter and do not necessarily reflect the genius of SMQ, Sports Blog Nation, etc.

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Well really
I find it difficutlt to disagree with anything in the article (except of course having the BCSCG cancelled - stripped of its athority to name a champion - at least de facto in not de jure - to be sure but not cancelled - am curious to see it as such).

His most salient point is that College Football does not lend itself to an entirely satisfying solution in determining a national champion.  It would be great if a flexible approach of the sort he suggest could be adopted but absent that we would be wrong to conclude that a playoff would be a panacea which would confer some sort of definitive patina of legitimacy on the winner as the real rather than mythical national champion.

by marcillac on Dec 1, 2007 10:25 AM EST reply actions  

I don't know...
I dispute the fact that this season has failed to produce any great teams... there are still games to play.

A Missouri team that beats Kansas, Oklahoma and West Virginia would be worthy of hype in my books. Ditto for a WVU squad that beats a 1 loss Big 12 champ along with all the bowl teams they smoked in the reg season.

News spew about a lack of 'greatness' gets copied and pasted into existence any time the Name Brand Power Elite don't produce a couple of vaunted Juggernauts.

by MonL on Dec 1, 2007 4:02 PM EST reply actions  

It's circumstantial
I think it's the fact that every team has lost and played close games, and most of the top teams have lost to obviously inferior (overall) competition. The same Missouri team you're touting would be lost in the shuffle if Ohio State and LSU or anyone else in a major conference ran the table. Those perceptions depend on the context. Missouri might get the chance to be 'great' because nobody else is, but I don't know how it would stack up against past champions. There's no way to know.

by SMQ on Dec 1, 2007 9:25 PM EST up reply actions  

oh man.
Basically, I don't see any way a team that did not win its conference should be in the discussion. The thing is, not a single team has done enough to distinguish themselves. Even OSU has nothing going for it as its schedule was full of questionable teams and the team they lost too  was beating by Mizzou on the first day of the season. I say, give us a playoff or just have this year be the year where there IS NO CHAMPION...

I say lets put LSU in it. They always have fun games to watch.

Visit the #1 Blog for CU Football, www.buffs.tv, for good times and the occasional tidbit of news or analysis. Shoulder to Shoulder Baby!

by Fallen on Dec 2, 2007 12:22 AM EST reply actions  

Only conference champs?
I can't buy that argument.  The pro-playoff folks argue that every other sport determines a champ on the field, reveals the best team, blah blah blah.  But how many national champions are necessarily conference champions as well?  I saw someone else make the argument today (can't remember the site -- fanhouse? ESPN? random blogosphere?) that even hidebound, tradition laden baseball lets wild card teams compete for the title.  

By this logic, the #4 rated team in the country right now in UGA would be locked out of a playoff berth while "lower" teams breezed on through.

This is one of the years that would lend itself to a "playoff creep" scenario where probably any one of the top 10-12 teams could go on a hot streak and win 2-3 games in a row.  I am antiplayoff anyhow, but that particular argument doesn't seem consistent with many of the other stated goals of most playoff advocates.

by Beatuofa on Dec 3, 2007 7:13 PM EST up reply actions  

CFB 2007 -- crappy or competitive? both?
True, the BCS is not equipped to name a national champion, except in the rare season where two teams are clearly better than the rest. And yes, I think we would all be happier with a bowl/playoff hybrid.

But I can't agree with Levin, who thinks there are no great teams this season. Conferences were more balanced in terms of competitiveness, evidenced by weekly installments of Upset of the Century of the Week (appropriating an SMQ non sequitor). Why? Did the top teams stumble, or did several historically average teams have above-average seasons? Relative greatness is not the same as absolute greatness. It's tough to point to the two best teams (judged relative to the rest of the pack) this season, but that doesn't mean there weren't several great teams, judged by historic standards.

It seems like a minor point, but dismissing this season as an outlier, or a rare clusterf*** of less-than-great teams, implicitly justifies the BCS system. But if we expect to see more and more competitive balance in future seasons, a playoff system makes much more sense.

by EconoMz on Dec 3, 2007 6:24 PM EST reply actions  

Crappy and mediocre
Let's start with LSU which might be the best team in the country (SMQ seems to think so based on resume and I agree) but is probably worse then the 2006 version of the Tigers.  In 2006 LSU lost to AT eventual MNC Florida and AT a 10 win Auburn.  This year they lost AT HOME to 8-4 Arkansas and at a 7-5 Kentucky team.  Last year they beat Kentucky 49-0 and defeated Ar-Kansas at Ar-Kansas with the same McFadden and Jones and a top 10 NFL draft choce at DE and 2 2nd round draft choices at CB and LT.  Sure the losses were in triple OT, McFadden is the best player in college football and Woodson is one of the best and at the time was the hottest pro-style QB but still you have to say that the 2007 LSU is probably worse than their earlier incarnation.

Or OU which didn't loose to, say, otherwise, undefeated Mizzou or a hypothetical 10 Texas but at 6-6 Colorado and at 7-5 Tech.

USC. LOST. AT. HOME. TO. STANFORD.

We could do this all day.  

You could say that all this mediocraty was caused by injuries all around and you would be correct to a very significant extent.   Crappy mediocraty, however, it has been.

by marcillac on Dec 4, 2007 1:50 PM EST up reply actions  

"Relative greatness...
...is not the same as absolute greatness."

Well put.  Sums it up nicely.

by crepuscular @ Sunday Morning Quarterback on Dec 4, 2007 7:30 AM EST reply actions  

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