BLOG POLLIN': WEEK NINE BALLOT
| 1. | LSU (7-1) |
| 2. | Arizona State (7-0) |
| 3. | Oregon (6-1) |
| 4. | Oklahoma (7-1) |
| 5. | Ohio State (8-0) |
| 6. | Boston College (7-0) |
| 7. | Kansas (7-0) |
| 8. | South Florida (6-1) |
| 9. | Missouri (6-1) |
| 10. | West Virginia (6-1) |
| 11. | Florida (5-2) |
| 12. | Virginia (7-1) |
| 13. | Georgia (5-2) |
| 14. | UCLA (5-2) |
| 15. | Alabama (6-2) |
| 16. | South Carolina (6-2) |
| 17. | Virginia Tech (6-1) |
| 18. | California (5-2) |
| 19. | Kentucky (6-2) |
| 20. | Auburn (5-3) |
| 21. | Penn State (6-2) |
| 22. | Connecticut (6-1) |
| 23. | Michigan (6-2) |
| 24. | Southern Cal (6-1) |
| 25. | Illinois (5-3) |
- - -
| AZ State | Oregon | Oklahoma | Ohio State | Boston Coll. | Kansas |
| Michigan | Missouri | ||||
| Texas | |||||
| Oregon St. | Miami | Purdue | Wake Frst. | K-State | |
| Colorado | Fresno St. | Michigan St. | GA Tech | Colorado | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | |||
| Stanford | Stanford | Tulsa | N'western | ||
| Wash. State | Houston | Iowa State | NC State | Baylor | |
| Wash. State | Minnesota | Bwlng. Green | Cent. Mich. | ||
| S.D. State | No. Texas | Kent State | Notre Dame | Toledo | |
| S.J. State | Utah State | Akron | Army | Fla. Int'l. | |
| Y'town State | UMass | SE Louisiana | |||
| California | Colorado |
This is pretty straightforward, although it should be noted it’s only a rough guide: for instance, I’d condense the sequence under Oregon from Fresno State through Washington State into one big mashup and take the average, because there aren’t that many tiers between those teams; as a loss, Colorado is much more damaging than Cal, especially under the specific circumstances of Oregon’s loss to the Bears. But as a rough guide, it works. I like the big wins at the top of Oklahoma’s schedule (even Miami, considering the extent of the beatdown) and the fact that ASU and Oregon, merely by virtue of playing in a league with nine conference games, where the presumptive bottom-dweller upset the five-time defending champion on the road, don’t have as much extraneous chaffe at the bottom of their resumés. North Texas, Utah State and Florida International are I-A teams in name only and, given what we’ve seen from the top of the Championship Subdivision this year, probably wouldn’t even qualify for the I-AA playoffs.
Under most circumstances, Arizona State wouldn’t be rewarded with a number two spot for its triumphs against mediocrity without a more valuable notch on its belt, but its competition is either in the same position, lacking a marquee win, or has other mitigating evidence, i.e. a loss. All the undefeated teams here will be stepping up in competition over the next month, and the order isn’t likely to change that much if they all keep winning, specifics of hypothetical wins notwithstanding.
Anyway, re: controversy, I’m still one of the leading contenders for both "Mr. Bold" and "Mr. Manic-Depressive," again, so either I’m crazy or the other five dozen voters in this week’s poll are. What is wrong with you people?
There’s only one element of this poll that’s really manic-depressive relative to last week’s effort, and it’s West Virginia rocketing ahead of Florida, Georgia and Virginia to the eleventh spot. Mississippi State is not a terrible team (MSU’s win over Auburn, and the Tigers’ subsequent success, is still a boon to strength of schedule in the SEC, even moreso than Stanford’s win over USC in the Pac Ten, because the Bulldogs are hovering around .500 for the time being by virtue of not losing to mid-major schools) and the Mountaineers did crush State more than any SEC team to date save LSU, but I’m having a hard time explaining how exactly that win allowed WVU to move past Florida after the Gators beat Kentucky. My only defense is that I’m beginning to feel like a dramatically overrated Florida last week, with great flops by Tennessee and Ole Miss and a third loss by Auburn Saturday pushing that idea along. Again, all I can say is that this is close and it is being monitored.
Biggest drop without losing: Southern Cal, whose win over Notre Dame actually detracted from the average value of the Trojans’ schedule – beating the Irish right now is about the equivalent of beating San Jose State – and allowed SC to get hopped by a string of big wiinners: the aforementioned Gators and Mountaineers, Virginia, UCLA, Alabama, UConn and Michigan (hello, Michigan). On Penn State being in front of Michigan, I plead the Fifth, but e-mail me and I’ll send you a spreadsheet that may or may not explain anything and that your computer probably won’t be able to open, anyway. Ditto on Illinois remaining in the poll, which doesn’t quite seem right, but I ask you: who else? Wake Forest? Texas? Texas A&M? Wisconsin, which lost to Illinois two and a half weeks ago?
This will be completely different next week. Hopefully more on the Buckeyes this afternoon.
0 recs |
7 comments
Comments
two things
- Is Virginia really that good? I feel that they would lose to a litany of teams you have ranked lower.
- PSU over Michigan? Are the losses the basis for your rationale? I guess I can't really gripe all that much. Michigan has better wins (PSU, Illinios, Purdue, Northwestern all at least 5-3 vs Indiana, Wisconsin) but also worse losses (App St (!), Oregon (beatdown) vs Michigan, Illinois).
by georgiablue on Oct 24, 2007 2:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Virginia
- "Is Virginia really that good?" It's won the games it's won. That's all I'm looking at. If not for the opening loss to Wyoming, which was a terrible, terrible performance by UVA, the rest of the resume would probably make the Cavs a top five team by these standards. Their strength of schedule - not the margins of victory, but the difficulty - is at least as good and probably slightly better than Ohio State's and Boston College's right now.
- I said I'd e-mail the PSU-Michigan breakdown to anyone who asks. It's not groundbreaking or anything. The exclamation point behind App State there pretty much explains it.
by SMQ on Oct 24, 2007 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Virginia
by SMP on Oct 24, 2007 5:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
K State vs Wake Forest
by FactPig on Oct 24, 2007 6:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
LSU
by DaddyFads on Oct 25, 2007 11:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's a tired line
by crepuscular on Oct 25, 2007 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, crepuscular
by SMQ on Oct 26, 2007 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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