BLOG POLLIN': OFFICIAL WEEK FOUR BALLOT
Update [2007-9-19 14:11:38 by SMQ]: As promised, notes and justification:
| 1. | LSU |
| 2. | Boston College |
| 3. | Florida |
| 4. | Oklahoma |
| 5. | Southern Cal |
| 6. | Oregon |
| 7. | South Carolina |
| 8. | Alabama |
| 9. | Ohio State |
| 10. | California |
| 11. | Kentucky |
| 12. | West Virginia |
| 13. | Clemson |
| 14. | Cincinnati |
| 15. | South Florida |
| 16. | Air Force |
| 17. | Kansas |
| 18. | Purdue |
| 19. | Texas Tech |
| 20. | Rutgers |
| 21. | Arizona State |
| 22. | Michigan State |
| 23. | Penn State |
| 24. | Texas |
| 25. | Wisconsin |
Waiting: Tulsa, Washington, Georgia, Missouri, Texas A&M, Indiana, Connecticut, Hawaii, Nebraska, Arkansas
But the Eagles haven't avoided patsies; they've only delayed them. The next four games are Army, UMass, Bowling Green and Notre Dame, so B.C. will not be in the top five for long as its schedule weakens considerably.
The next ten spots – Oregon through South Florida – aren't separated by much. All ten teams have one solid win over another respectable team accompanied by weak sister wipeouts. Cal loses a little luster as the value of beating Tennessee takes a hit this week. West Virginia, because it's win over Maryland is the only "quality win" blowout aside from Ohio State's over Washington, is probably a little underrated in retrospect, though the Mountaineers' do lose some points for a comeback win at Marshall after the Herd's loss to a I-AA team Saturday.

Who dares question Mangino?!
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Admittedly, it's not a very wide gap; every team beginning with the Jayhawks down is 3-0 without a strong win, or with a suspiciously close win (or two) against a much weaker team. I try to judge every game equally, so one decent win can be somewhat negated by a sketchy win like Texas' over Arkansas State on the other end. Purdue, Texas Tech, Rutgers and Arizona State all have virtually identical, cupcake-strewn resumes after three weeks (Purdue and Kansas, in fact, have both crushed Central Michigan, Toledo and a I-AA team), but at least they've devoured the cupcakes as expected. Texas and Wisconsin haven't. Penn State has, but – again, as Brian has pointed out himself – the Lions' non-conference schedule with Notre Dame's collapse is potentially the worst in Big Ten history. All of these teams will make giant strides with conference wins.
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Judging games equally
Your Boston College rank, on the other hand, is correct, give or take a spot. Ryan must be the MVP of the season so far. Another reason why resume ranking is right: the next few weeks of meaningless wins will let Boston College drift up on everybody else's poll, despite nobody thinking any higher of them than they do now. They'll drift down on your ballot, but that's completely consistent with your methodology (uh, provided you don't judge all games equally, otherwise you'd have to keep them high for crushing Army and Massachusetts).
Weighting games equally...
So Boston College is definitely dropping over the next month, no matter how large its margin of victory over Army, UMass, Bowling Green and Notre Dame. This is why Hawaii is coming nowhere near the poll. Other than actual record, strength of schedule is the most important component.

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